normal · model 2026-11-03
South China Sea
Broad corridor with grey-zone harassment risk near disputed features. Density is indicative across a wide basin.
- Est. daily vessels
- 188
- vs baseline
- -1%
- Avg anchorage
- 10.8h
- Box / tanker / other
- 75 / 48 / 65
South China Sea: within normal operating band for this corridor model.
Related incidents
- shipping chokepointjapanmedium impact10 Aug
Japan taps public-private funds for shipbuilding, eyeing next-generation vessels
Japan is utilizing public-private funds to enhance its shipbuilding sector, focusing on next-generation vessels. This initiative is seen as vital for the country's economic security, given its reliance on overseas sources for critical goods like energy and food.
Confidence: 66/100 - maritime incidentothermedium impact10 Aug
X reports Tuvalu feared tsunami from China missile test without prior warning
A senior Tuvalu foreign affairs official stated that China did not provide warning about its early July missile test. The test allegedly landed close to the island nation, raising fears of a tsunami — not independently verified.
Confidence: 63/100 - shipping chokepointaustraliamedium impact10 Aug
Australian unions to escalate strikes at BHP iron ore export hub
Australian unions are planning to escalate strikes at BHP's iron ore export hub, impacting operations. The strike's effects on exports may lead to disruptions in the supply chain for global markets.
Confidence: 67/100