elevated · model 2026-08-04
Taiwan Strait (shipping)
Commercial north–south lanes under cross-strait drill and ADIZ pressure. Caution ≠ closure — watch AIS density vs advisories.
- Est. daily vessels
- 166
- vs baseline
- +11%
- Avg anchorage
- 19.7h
- Box / tanker / other
- 72 / 47 / 47
Taiwan Strait: density above recent baseline. Watch anchorage hours and related incident feed.
Related incidents
- taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact2 Aug
PLA aircraft cross Taiwan Strait median line in largest sortie this month
Taiwan MND reported 32 PLA aircraft and 8 naval vessels operating around Taiwan, with 18 aircraft crossing the median line.
Confidence: 78/100 - taiwan straittaiwan straitmedium impact18 Jul
Commercial shipping receives navigational caution during Taiwan drill window
Maritime safety messaging urged caution for commercial traffic during a published Taiwan Strait drill window; main lanes remained open according to tracking data.
Confidence: 75/100 - taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact6 Jan
Taiwan MND reports elevated PLA ADIZ activity at the start of 2026
Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense logged 41 PLA aircraft and 11 naval vessels around Taiwan over 24 hours, with 22 aircraft crossing the median line — the densest early-year pattern since late 2025.
Confidence: 84/100 - natural hazardtaiwanhigh impact28 Jul
Typhoon Gaemi approaches southern Taiwan; Kaohsiung port suspends operations
Central Weather Administration issued land warning for Typhoon Gaemi; Port of Kaohsiung halted container operations for 18 hours as precaution.
Confidence: 92/100 - taiwan straittaiwan straithigh impact15 Apr
PLA Navy carrier group transits Bashi Channel amid Taiwan drills narrative
Open-source tracking and Taiwan defence statements indicated a PLA Navy carrier group transit through the Bashi Channel during a period of heightened cross-strait messaging.
Confidence: 77/100 - natural hazardtaiwanmedium impact21 Mar
Kaohsiung port operations curtailed ahead of seasonal storm system
Taiwan port authorities limited pilotage and crane operations at Kaohsiung as a seasonal storm system approached southern Taiwan.
Confidence: 81/100 - shipping chokepointothermedium impact4 Aug
Hormuz Traffic Levels Continue Decreasing, Houthis Threaten Saudi Tankers
Traffic levels in the Strait of Hormuz have reportedly decreased significantly, dropping 52.4% over a recent period. Houthis in Yemen have threatened Saudi tankers, escalating regional tensions — claims not independently verified.
Confidence: 65/100